Archives for April 2009

Positive Signs Continue in China

China's Recovery

China's Recovery


Despite what the IMF has to say this morning … the World Bank expects China’s economy to start growing by mid-year, as a result of its massive stimulus package (some $A800 billion).

Overall growth for China has become more certain, as activity moves from state-funded projects into housing and improved consumption.
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Private Investors Vs the Institutional Buyers

Private Investors continue to dominate the Melbourne Commercial Office market.

Right now, sales around $20 million are slow; and over $40 million are few and far between.

Suburban Office Sales

Suburban Office Sales


However, the suburban market for properties under $3 million enjoy solid demand from cashed-up private Investors.

Research by Knight Frank shows that last year saw $240 million recorded in suburban Office Sales. And already this year, they have totalled some $100 million.

And 97% of those sales have been to Private Investors.

How to Interpret the Conflicting Signals

Over the past weeks, I’ve posted several articles suggesting things are starting to improve — and more particularly, here in Victoria.

Upward Trend

Upward Trend


Since the low point on 6 March, the Australian stock market has enjoyed roughly a 20% improvement. And that has also been reflected on Wall Street.

However, we then received the recent announcement of unemployment reaching 5.7% for March — the worst for 5 years.

On the one hand, the Bulls are claiming the stock market is now confirming a turnaround. And on the other, the Bears are using the rise in unemployment to support their case as to how bad things are.

Surely, these two indicators can’t both be right?
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