The G+L December eBulletin

By now you are probably winding down, and getting ready for a well-earned Christmas break.

As you’re aware, the purpose of the postings on this site is to give you quick updates on events affecting you as a Commercial property investor.

However, our regular eBulletins are still designed to give you a more in-depth analysis of Market trends — but on a quarterly basis.

The current eBulletin takes a look at where you are in the Property Cycle; and what it is you need to consider.

You can now go to our main website for the complete picture.

“Will there be another Crash?”:http://www.gal.com.au/FREE-eBulletins/Current-eBulletins/Thinking-Ahead-3.html

“If there is to be a Crash … When?”:http://www.gal.com.au/FREE-eBulletins/Current-eBulletins/Thinking-Ahead-3.html#when

“How widespread will the Crash be?”:http://www.gal.com.au/FREE-eBulletins/Current-eBulletins/Thinking-Ahead-3.html#spread

Understanding the Commercial Markets

You have seen strong growth and investor activity over the past 12 months; but neither of these have been very consistent — whether you look across the nation, or within each of the Commercial sectors.

Let’s take a quick look at each sector; and also consider the likely impact that further interest rate rises may have on your Investment Strategy.
[Read more…]

A Couple of Articles Worth Reading

Last week I posted two articles that you may find interesting — and just wanted to make sure you actually received them.

If you didn’t get a chance to look at them then … here are the links to the full articles

“*Economy tipped to enter new Golden Age*”:http://commercialpropertymadeeasy.com/2006/11/17/economy-tipped-to-enter-new-golden-age

“*Vietnam … Asia’s 2nd Fastest-Growing Economy*”:http://commercialpropertymadeeasy.com/2006/11/17/vietnam-asias-2nd-fastest-growing-economy

Both these articles cover things that could impact on your overall Investment Strategy.

Vietnam … Asia’s 2nd Fastest-Growing Economy

You are always reading about how China has been breaking annual growth records. And then it was India’s turn to steal the limelight.

But after throwing off the Soviet shackles, Vietnam signed an accord to roll back trade barriers with the USA. And its stagnant economy has literally leapt into action.
[Read more…]

Economy tipped to enter new Golden Age

One of Australia’s leading economic forecasters has predicted a new golden age of growth for the economy as the problems of worker shortages and production bottlenecks are solved amid a continuing boom in demand for commodities.

Canberra-based consultancy Access Economics predicts Australia’s gross domestic product will soar 4.6 per cent in 2007, compared with just 2.9 per cent this year, representing the strongest annual growth rate since 1997-98.
[Read more…]

Melbourne CBD Office Market

According to the latest Property Council of Australia data (July 2006), the Melbourne CBD recorded a staggering net absorption figure in the last six months of 173,121 sqm, bring the total absorption for the last twelve months to 213,159 sqm.

These are the highest six and twelve month net absorption figures for Melbourne since PCA records began in 1990.

“Read more”:/assets/2006/10/31/MelbourneCBDOfficeMarketIndicatorsReport-Spring2006.pdf …

Brisbane CBD Office Market

Conditions have tightened across the market reducing total vacancy of prime stock to 1.4% and secondary stock to 2.8%. With the mining and resource boom the primary driver of the market, demand is strong and supply is restrained.

“Read more”:http://www.colliers.com/Content/Repositories/Base/Markets/Australia/English/Market_Report/PDFs/BrisbaneCBDOfficeMarketIndicatorsReport-Spring2006.pdf …

Building Activity – ABS

In the June quarter 2006, the seasonally adjusted estimate of total building work done rose in all of the states and territories except Tasmania (-9.1%). The largest rises were in the Northern Territory (+17.6%), the Australian Capital Territory (+15.5%) and Western Australia (+12.6%). “Read more”:http://www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/abs%40.nsf/mf/8752.0?OpenDocument …

This would seem to add weight to what I covered on the “Australasian Construction Climate”:http://www.gal.com.au/FREE-eBulletins/Current-eBulletins/Emerging-Issues-2.html#climate in the March eBulletin.

Australasian Labour Market Statistics – ABS

In 2005-06, more than two-thirds of employed men aged 15-19 years worked in the Retail trade (42%), Construction (15%) or Manufacturing (11%) industries. Most of those working in Retail trade were employed part-time (77%), though part-time workers were much less prevalent in the Construction (14%) and Manufacturing (20%) industries.

Read more