Office Leasing the Stand-out Performer

OfficeTake-up
Office leasing activity picked up in most capital cities around Australia, over the past year. In some instances, quite significantly.

And with the supply side basically “on hold”, you should soon start to see this translate into some solid rental increases.
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“Capture Your Firm’s Full Value”

Last week, we talked about what you could be missing out on … when you find the need to move.

Whenever you decide to relocate to new Headquarters, what are the key things you are seeking to achieve? [Read more…]

CBD Offices on the Move

Westpac has just released an Australia-wide outlook for Commercial property. And it predicts you will start to see growth in rents and values during 2010-11.

Two Cities

Two Cities

As employment numbers grow with the improved economy, demand for Office space will also take off again.
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State of the Commercial Market?

CBD Office Vacancies

CBD Office Vacancies


As you would expect, the financial turmoil worldwide has had a significant effect on most property markets. However, the effect has not been the same across the board.

The current state of the various CBD office markets is probably your best barometer of future activity for two reasons. First, the Property Council of Australia (PCA) conducts six-monthly surveys to establish the CBD vacancy rates right around Australia.
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The “Fund Gap” Threatens …
Higher-Priced Commercial Property

Earlier this year, you read about a funding crisis pending for Property Trusts and Institutional buyers. And this is not helped by the RuddBank failing to materialise.

With a surge in the Share Market since March, several recent capital raisings have helped some of these larger property owners.

However, with the latest hiccup in Share Market confidence, you’re unlikely to see much more capital raised in this way.

Capital Gap

Capital Gap

As such, Quadrant Real Estate Advisors have concerns with the high debt levels for these owners of Investment-grade property.

As you can appreciate, the financiers are proving to be rather difficult.

Therefore, over the next two years, you could see a gap of up to $30 billion emerge, between properly valuations and what bank are prepared to fund.

But these problems seem to relate mostly to commercial properties worth more than $20 million.

Because, for properties less than $10 million … the market appears conservatively geared, and is experiencing strong demand — especially for properties in Melbourne, priced under $5 million.

So it is somewhat a two-tiered market … with a number of good opportunities starting to emerge.

Looking into the Future for CBD Offices

An earlier post outlined my view on how the various CBD Office Markets would perform around Australia.

Future CBD Office Vacancies

Future CBD Office Vacancies


And a report by the ANZ Bank (in yesterday’s Financial Review) pretty much confirmed that previous advice.

Interestingly, their take on the level of vacancies is that it will not reach anything as bad as the 1990s.

But Perth, Brisbane and Sydney will be the most affected … and slowest to recover.

You May be a Doubter … But I say: “Yes, we can!”

The Weekend Financial Review ran several articles, which seemed to echo many of the sentiments contained in my last blog about the Capital City Markets — but perhaps putting things a little more bluntly.

h3. Brisbane

Qeensland DebtMark Ludlow (on page 2) referred to Queensland as having moved from “boom state to gloom state” — because of its heavy reliance on resources. [Read more…]

Which Australian Office Markets are in Trouble?

Queensland seems to have been hardest hit. And in particular the Gold Coast, where vacancy levels have soared to around 18%.

But the difficulties confronting Queensland (and fellow mining State WA) are not necessarily reflected Australia-wide.
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Taking Stock of Commercial Property

As I mentioned in a recent email to some Clients, it’s been surprising how few quality properties have been forced onto the market — given the difficulties caused by current global turmoil.

You’ve heard so much lately as to how bad things are. But let’s undertake a quick comparison for Australia — between 1990 and now.
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Recognise the Investment Opportunities …

Anecdotal evidence suggests that consumers are cutting back on their spending around Australia. And it’s likely that luxury items and overseas travel will be the most affected.

The Flight to ValueA recent article in The Age expounded “The Flight to Value” — where Australian Property Monitors reported a 24% drop in the median price for Toorak Homes, in the 6 months to September.
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How to Live with a Labor Government!

Will things really change all that much, now that Australia has wall-to-wall Labor governments across the country?

You’d better believe it!
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