Commercial Property Fundamentals
Continue to Improve for Investors


The mid-year report from the Property Council of Australia (PCA) has confirmed a tightening of all major Office markets — except for Sydney and the Gold Coast.

As you can see from the graph, Sydney’s vacancy rate actually increased from 8.3% to 9.3% during the six months to July 2011.

For the remainder of Australia’s office markets, there was an overall improvement — as demand for space exceeded supply, and yields began to firm.

According to Peter Verwer (PCA’s chief executive): “This is a good result, especially now with a lot of uncertainty about Australia’s economic resilience … demand and absorption are well above the historical average, except for the orphan Sydney.”

From this second graph, you will also notice that the Melbourne Office market has been consistently outgrowing Sydney, since about July 2004.

Furthermore, because of Sydney’s heavy dependence upon the financial sector … this growth trend is unlikely to change any time soon.

Melbourne, on the other hand, has its Office demand spread across a wide number of sectors. And therefore, has been far less exposed to the recent global turmoil.

Bottom Line: Despite all the stock market gloom, the underlying fundamentals for Commercial property are strong — particularly in Melbourne.

And historically, it is in times like these when shrewd investors have laid the foundation for their extraordinary fortunes in Commercial property.

 

Smart Investor Seminar

Just quickly …

On Saturday 27 August, I have been asked to take the Session on Commercial Property Investing … at this Smart Investor Seminar.

And I simply thought you may have some interest in knowing what’s also being covered at the same time. [Read more…]

Distortion Guaranteed?

While the Rudd government may have moved quickly to provide guarantees for the major Banks during a financial turmoil … the impact of doing so has been disastrous for borrowers.

Right now, these major Banks seem to account for virtually 80% of all owner-occupier loans for property.

As such, the margins they are charging have never been higher — despite the Banks’ protestations of being “squeezed”.

RBA's Dilemma

RBA's Dilemma


Therefore, overall borrowings borrowings have been slowly trending downward over the past six months — because the major Banks have effectively amplified the rate increases handed down by the RBA.
[Read more…]