Biggest Economic Threat For Australia

It might surprise you to hear this, however …

h3. A Strong US Recovery

… would probably be the worst thing to happen for Australia in 2010.

If that occurs, the US Federal Reserve would be forced to quickly raise interest rates, from zero to around 3%. And that would cause the collapse in the Australian dollar from its current level of around US90c.

Up until now, Australia has been shielded from inflationary pressures, with a high dollar holding down the cost of imports.
[Read more…]

Your Handy Economic Clock

Over the years, you have probably seen various economic clocks explaining the different phases, and their relative timing.

Economic Clock

Economic Clock

Anyway, I came across this rather useful one the other day.

As you’ll see, it is actually a “Multi-asset Investment Clock” — in that you have all the sectors displayed together: Shares, Property, Resources and Interest rates.

Furthermore, if you click on it … you’ll see the clock confirms Australia is midway through its Recovery phase.

h3. And the timing for Commercial property? [Read more…]

The Future for Interest Rates

The RBA’s underlying rate of inflation rose by 3.5% in the year to September — less that what the markets and the RBA itself expected.

However, this figure needs to fall significantly for the RBA will put interest rates on hold again.

Rate Rises

Rate Rises

With low inventories and industry capacity-use levels up over 80% once more … you could well see the economy reach full capacity sometime early in 2010.

And this was highlighted in last week’s job figures — showing employers took on 24,500 new workers in October, compared with the 10,000 expected.
[Read more…]

Thankfully, The RBA Displayed
The Courage of Its Convictions

Clearly, many households and first home buyers will have reason to complain … but someone had to step up and show leadership. And it certainly wasn’t going to be the Labor Party.

The RBA's Reasons for Increasing Rates

The RBA's Reasons for Increasing Rates

By increasing the official cash rate from 3% to 3.25%, the RBA has signalled its intention to ensure Australia’s financial future remains the envy of the world.

Rather than simply basking in the recent praise from the IMF and other G20 members.
[Read more…]

It’s both Good News … and Bad News!

Business Investment

Business Investment

Government statistics show that business investment rose by 3.3% during the three months to June — most of it accounted for by a massive 20% surge in Victoria.

This increase is the latest confirmation that Australia has entered its recovery phase — emerging from the global turmoil, without experiencing a technical recession.

h3. But what does this mean?
[Read more…]

Keep Your Eye on Inflation!

Balancing Act

Balancing Act


Australia is supposed to be in the midst of a recession; and yet, underlying inflation is still running at 4% per annum.

If that’s the best we can do … what levels will inflation finally reach, once the economy moves into its recovery phase?

Strong sales have seen retailers cutting prices less than expected. And generally, other prices have held firm — because wages have not yet been affected by increases in unemployment.

On top of this, there are also serious supply constraints on the housing front, which are pushing up rentals.

h3. How will this affect things? [Read more…]

Depreciation : 4 Myths Keeping You From
Maximising Your Secret Tax Advantage

Capture The Benefits

Capture The Benefits

Depreciation is probably the most under-used weapon to legitimately shelter a significant portion of your property income.

And as a Commercial Investor, you really do have an unfair advantage over somebody investing in only residential property.

Therefore, let’s now set about dispelling a few of the common Myths concerning Depreciation.
[Read more…]

Do You Remember Back Then … ?

In an earlier article, I gave you a bullet-point comparison of how things are NOW … compared to the early 1990s … in relation to Commercial property.

Anyway, here are some very revealing graphs — based upon figures from the RBA.

Now & Then

Now & Then


Back in the 1990s, the banks were burdened with a heavy corporate exposure; and interest rates were up around 18% pa.
[Read more…]

Bring along your Friend, Spouse or Partner?

The question has been raised as to whether you could bring along a “significant other” with you to attend the full-day Workshop on Saturday 4 April?

And over the years, I’ve found some of the most successful results have been achieved when people act as an Investment team. So, the answer is a resounding … “Yes!

But given the turbulent times, I’m happy to play my part in helping you out.

Simply enrol yourself and you can then bring along your “Investment Partner” absolutely FREE.

That’s how serious I am about seeing you gain the upper hand in the current market.

Are You Passing Up A Truly Great Opportunity?

Only every 18-20 years do you get the chance to take advantage of the Commercial Property market, when it’s in a state of flux!

As such, this year’s full-day Property Workshop (on Saturday 4 April) is probably even more important than in past years — to help you to gain that upper hand.

But remember, the “Early Bird” discount expires — if you are not enrolled by this Sunday.

Therefore, if you haven’t done so already … make sure you grab your self a seat over the weekend.

Demand Finally Surfaces!

The pent-up demand for housing serves to underline that this downturn is more like the credit squeeze of the mid-1970s, than the recession of the early 1990s.

It’s principally a confidence thing.

Surge in 1st Home-Buyer Activity

Surge in 1st Home-Buyer Activity


However, the recent surge in purchases by first-home buyers confirms that with the encouragement of low interest rates and government hand-outs … the buyers will play their part.

More importantly, the flow-on effect throughout the construction industry will give our economy a much needed lift.