The Time Has Now Come …

h3. “And I decided to Make the Move, as of 1 July!”

You would already be aware … that I merged the entire business of Gardner & Lang with GrayJohnson, in May 2005.

And that simply occurred because I was becoming “stretched far too thin”, trying to provide the level of service that you (as my Clients) deserved.

From then until June 2009 … I have headed up their Acquisition Division, for Clients wanting to purchase Commercial property.

Property Edge Logo

Property Edge Logo

However, I have now left GrayJohnson and set up Property Edge Australia … to “help you turn Commercial Property opportunities into Solid Profit”.
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The “Fund Gap” Threatens …
Higher-Priced Commercial Property

Earlier this year, you read about a funding crisis pending for Property Trusts and Institutional buyers. And this is not helped by the RuddBank failing to materialise.

With a surge in the Share Market since March, several recent capital raisings have helped some of these larger property owners.

However, with the latest hiccup in Share Market confidence, you’re unlikely to see much more capital raised in this way.

Capital Gap

Capital Gap

As such, Quadrant Real Estate Advisors have concerns with the high debt levels for these owners of Investment-grade property.

As you can appreciate, the financiers are proving to be rather difficult.

Therefore, over the next two years, you could see a gap of up to $30 billion emerge, between properly valuations and what bank are prepared to fund.

But these problems seem to relate mostly to commercial properties worth more than $20 million.

Because, for properties less than $10 million … the market appears conservatively geared, and is experiencing strong demand — especially for properties in Melbourne, priced under $5 million.

So it is somewhat a two-tiered market … with a number of good opportunities starting to emerge.

Depreciation : 4 Myths Keeping You From
Maximising Your Secret Tax Advantage

Capture The Benefits

Capture The Benefits

Depreciation is probably the most under-used weapon to legitimately shelter a significant portion of your property income.

And as a Commercial Investor, you really do have an unfair advantage over somebody investing in only residential property.

Therefore, let’s now set about dispelling a few of the common Myths concerning Depreciation.
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Looking into the Future for CBD Offices

An earlier post outlined my view on how the various CBD Office Markets would perform around Australia.

Future CBD Office Vacancies

Future CBD Office Vacancies


And a report by the ANZ Bank (in yesterday’s Financial Review) pretty much confirmed that previous advice.

Interestingly, their take on the level of vacancies is that it will not reach anything as bad as the 1990s.

But Perth, Brisbane and Sydney will be the most affected … and slowest to recover.

Victoria is Starting to Shine

Victoria may not have grown as fast as Queensland and WA over the whole of 2008.

December Quarter Growth Figures

December Quarter Growth Figures


However, it far outstripped every other State for the December — once the full impact of the global turmoil had started to take effect.

And as mentioned in an earlier posting … the positive impact of the Bush Fire Relief funds will certainly help to shore up Victoria’s position even further.

Taking Stock of Commercial Property

As I mentioned in a recent email to some Clients, it’s been surprising how few quality properties have been forced onto the market — given the difficulties caused by current global turmoil.

You’ve heard so much lately as to how bad things are. But let’s undertake a quick comparison for Australia — between 1990 and now.
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Recognise the Investment Opportunities …

Anecdotal evidence suggests that consumers are cutting back on their spending around Australia. And it’s likely that luxury items and overseas travel will be the most affected.

The Flight to ValueA recent article in The Age expounded “The Flight to Value” — where Australian Property Monitors reported a 24% drop in the median price for Toorak Homes, in the 6 months to September.
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Some Answers in These Troubled Times

There are a couple of questions on the minds of Commercial Property Investors at the moment.

And they go something like this.
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Will there be an Office Market Collapse?

According to the recent Property Council (PCA) report in the Financial Review (AFR) … the 6 months to June saw overall demand for offices fall around Australia — as business confidence has gradually waned throughout the world.
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Trying to Make Sense of Things?

There has been much made of the poor US Retail Sales Data for December.

However, the figures were only down 0.4% on November. The most likely explanation being that some early Christmas shopping occurred November; and the increase in gift-card sales will not come through until early in 2008.

Clearly, the Sub-prime issues are having some effect. But, if you follow HS Dent at all — their view is that … “a short, mild recession is indeed likely, and we are arguably already in the middle of it.” (Update: Wednesday 16 January 2008).
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How to Live with a Labor Government!

Will things really change all that much, now that Australia has wall-to-wall Labor governments across the country?

You’d better believe it!
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